Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.432946 0.558101 0.693788 0.849881 1.022733 1.206745 1.415982
2025-05-04 0.285368 0.458202 0.664500 0.919498 1.218387 1.551199 1.943973
2025-05-11 0.208018 0.400224 0.646928 0.966752 1.354709 1.797738 2.330996
2025-05-18 0.140103 0.335385 0.607074 0.976357 1.438734 1.978576 2.639292
2025-05-25 0.075220 0.252072 0.526858 0.922203 1.434987 2.047885 2.810896
2025-06-01 0.032506 0.182711 0.451780 0.863708 1.417249 2.093800 2.949346
2025-06-08 0.012189 0.140222 0.407359 0.839670 1.437790 2.181772 3.133893
2025-06-15 0.004397 0.119820 0.394474 0.857335 1.510631 2.332726 3.392967
2025-06-22 0.000226 0.093967 0.365883 0.848156 1.545170 2.434072 3.590521
2025-06-29 NaN 0.069033 0.331898 0.826596 1.560112 2.508707 3.753888
2025-07-06 NaN 0.064143 0.338867 0.868890 1.662822 2.695113 4.054793
2025-07-13 NaN 0.061780 0.350934 0.919189 1.776675 2.895918 4.373702
2025-07-20 NaN 0.058806 0.362867 0.972722 1.900310 3.116056 4.725389
2025-07-27 NaN 0.062048 0.391175 1.054728 2.065991 3.392762 5.150180
2025-08-03 NaN 0.058138 0.399968 1.103445 2.183901 3.607101 5.496894
2025-08-10 NaN 0.047231 0.387081 1.114293 2.247160 3.750137 5.754664
2025-08-17 NaN 0.027065 0.336733 1.056038 2.208192 3.757788 5.841648
2025-08-24 NaN 0.012261 0.287350 0.993185 2.158633 3.748791 5.905484
2025-08-31 NaN 0.005613 0.259984 0.967289 2.161385 3.807245 6.052718
2025-09-07 NaN 0.003605 0.256090 0.986318 2.231732 3.956168 6.315033
2025-09-14 NaN 0.001133 0.238620 0.976433 2.256993 4.043784 6.498716
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000014 0.215951 0.953202 2.260279 4.100773 6.642548
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000006 0.225405 0.998755 2.371285 4.304811 6.975736